Pain Treshold
Pre-Flop tõstad pigem ISO mõttes, kui et value raised. Samas, mis mõte on tõsta, kui näiteks 5 tükki järgi callivad. Sellisel juhul on mõtekas pigem juba vaadata limpimist ja pärast tõsta. Pre-Flop pole eriti mingit equityt AKo näiteks 3-4 wya potis.
Monday, October 31, 2016
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Hand vs Flop- some common hands, how they hit the flop
2♣2♦ 88% weak pair; 11% a set
3♣3♦ 85% weak pair; 11% a set
4♣4♦ 80% weak pair; 11% a set; 8% PP below TP
5♣5♦ 70% weak pair; 11% a set; 15% PP below TP
6♣6♦ 60% weak pair; 11% a set; 23% PP below TP; 3% overpair
7♣7♦ 51% weak pair; 11% a set; 31% PP below TP; 6% overpair
8♣8♦ 40% weak pair; 11% a set; 38% PP below TP; 10% overpair
9♣9♦ 29% weak pair; 11% a set; 43% PP below TP; 17% overpair
T♣T♦ 18% weak pair; 11% a set; 44% PP below TP; 25% overpair
J♣J♦ 10% weak pair; 11% a set; 42% PP below TP; 36% overpair
Q♣Q♦ 4% weak pair; 11% a set; 34% PP below TP; 50% overpair
K♣K♦ 20% PP below TP; 11% a set; 67% overpair
A♣A♦ 88% overpair; 11% a set
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A♥K♥ 66% Ace High; 66% overcards; 29% TP; 11% gutshot; Flushdraw 2 cards 11%; 2% 2 pair
A♥K♠ 66% Ace High; 66% overcards; 29% TP; 11% gutshot; 2% 2 pair
A♥Q♥ 66% Ace High; 50% overcards; 26% TP; 11% gutshot; Flushdraw 2 cards 11%; 2% 2 pair
3♣3♦ 85% weak pair; 11% a set
4♣4♦ 80% weak pair; 11% a set; 8% PP below TP
5♣5♦ 70% weak pair; 11% a set; 15% PP below TP
6♣6♦ 60% weak pair; 11% a set; 23% PP below TP; 3% overpair
7♣7♦ 51% weak pair; 11% a set; 31% PP below TP; 6% overpair
8♣8♦ 40% weak pair; 11% a set; 38% PP below TP; 10% overpair
9♣9♦ 29% weak pair; 11% a set; 43% PP below TP; 17% overpair
T♣T♦ 18% weak pair; 11% a set; 44% PP below TP; 25% overpair
J♣J♦ 10% weak pair; 11% a set; 42% PP below TP; 36% overpair
Q♣Q♦ 4% weak pair; 11% a set; 34% PP below TP; 50% overpair
K♣K♦ 20% PP below TP; 11% a set; 67% overpair
A♣A♦ 88% overpair; 11% a set
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A♥K♥ 66% Ace High; 66% overcards; 29% TP; 11% gutshot; Flushdraw 2 cards 11%; 2% 2 pair
A♥K♠ 66% Ace High; 66% overcards; 29% TP; 11% gutshot; 2% 2 pair
A♥Q♥ 66% Ace High; 50% overcards; 26% TP; 11% gutshot; Flushdraw 2 cards 11%; 2% 2 pair
Monday, October 17, 2016
Ed Millers 1% takeaway
Fishing for flushes on the flop and turn will leave you disappointed. Too often you will end up winning very little for your big hand. The rest of the time, when you miss your hand, you’ll be folding and folding, bleeding money slowly away.
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If you make a small flush and play a massive pot, there’s a good chance you’ll be losing it.
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Miller about TAG's- People have written entire books attempting to explain how to play this way. I’ll explain it in twelve words:
- Stick to good hands preflop.
- Bet when checked to.
- If raised, fold.
Betting when checked to is the aggressive part. Sticking to good hands preflop and folding if raised is the tight part. Tightaggressive, there you have it.
Therefore, beating a TAG player is simple. Raise. That word kills a TAG strategy. “If raised, fold.” That’s how a TAG plays. So beating a basic TAG strategy is simple. Raise.
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No-limit hold’em is a math problem.
There are 52 cards. Stacks start at $50 and can be bet in increments of $5 at a time. Everyone gets two cards. That’s 1,326 possible combinations. Then one of 19,600 flops comes. After that, there are 2,162 permutations of possible turn and river cards.
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No-limit hold’em is a game of frequencies. Get your basic frequencies wrong, and no amount of soul owning will make you a winner. Get your frequencies close to right, and you can play 48 tables like a robot and print money.
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Folding Frequencies
Any time one of your opponents bets, what you do next breaks down into three frequencies:
- raising frequency
- calling frequency
- folding frequency
Let’s say it’s the turn in a $2-$5 game. There’s $210 in the pot. Your opponent bets $180. You could fold 30 percent of the time, call 60 percent of the time, and raise 10 percent of the time. This set of frequencies makes your opponent’s bet win or lose some amount of money. Or instead, you could fold 50 percent of the time, call 35 percent of the time, and raise 15 percent of the time. This set of frequencies makes your opponent’s bet win or lose some different amount of money. That is, your opponent’s hand and the board have stayed the same, but the value of his bet (and, therefore, his entire hand) has changed based on the frequency of your responses.
Folding frequencies, as it turns out, are enormously important. When you fold, I win. It doesn’t matter what my hand is. Therefore, if I want to win money from you, all I need to do is find situations where your folding frequency is too high and bet whatever two cards I happen to hold.
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Betting Frequencies
Betting frequencies are equally important. When you bet the pot, you are offering your opponent odds to call. When you bet $100 into a $100 pot, for example, your opponent gets $200-to-$100, or 2-to-1 on a call. These are strong odds that encourage calls from a wide range of hands. The problem with this simple pot-odds point of view is that after calling these early pot-sized bets, more cards—and potentially more bets—are on the way.
But how often, exactly, are more bets on the way? What does your opponent’s betting frequency look like on future streets? This is, it turns out, a critical question. Say you expect your opponent to bet the next card only 20 percent of the time. Because the betting frequency is so low, you expect these bets to be mostly good hands and few bluffs. If this is the case, you can essentially ignore the threat of future betting and treat the 2-to-1 proposition before you at face value. Most of the time, 80 percent, your call will indeed close the betting, and you’ll get your 2-to-1. The other 20 percent of the time, your opponent has a big hand, and you can fold safely without fear that you’re making a mistake.
But how often, exactly, are more bets on the way? What does your opponent’s betting frequency look like on future streets? This is, it turns out, a critical question. Say you expect your opponent to bet the next card only 20 percent of the time. Because the betting frequency is so low, you expect these bets to be mostly good hands and few bluffs. If this is the case, you can essentially ignore the threat of future betting and treat the 2-to-1 proposition before you at face value. Most of the time, 80 percent, your call will indeed close the betting, and you’ll get your 2-to-1. The other 20 percent of the time, your opponent has a big hand, and you can fold safely without fear that you’re making a mistake.
In practice, when most people play no-limit hold’em, their betting frequencies are woefully out of whack. They bet too frequently in many situations and too infrequently in others. These situations are predictable and therefore very exploitable.
If your frequencies are more correct than the players you play with, you will win their money.
A strong poker strategy begins with figuring out what your frequencies should be in all situations. Then you figure out what hands to play what ways to fill out those frequencies.
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The Two Rules
The basic math of the game dictates that the following two rules hold in most situations:
1. If your opponent bets or raises, you should usually call
2. If you bet one street and your opponent calls, you should usually bet again on the next card.
Starting with the first rule, let’s put these rules into context. Say it’s the river. Your opponent bets $100 into a $100 pot. How often should you call?
You’re getting the aforementioned 2-to-1 pot odds, so you should call with all hands that have a 33 percent chance or better to win. More to the point, your opponent is getting even money on his bet (risking $100 to win $100), so if you fold more than 50 percent of the time, he can bet any two cards profitably.
You’re getting the aforementioned 2-to-1 pot odds, so you should call with all hands that have a 33 percent chance or better to win. More to the point, your opponent is getting even money on his bet (risking $100 to win $100), so if you fold more than 50 percent of the time, he can bet any two cards profitably.
Teen siia vahele omale ODD's vs. %age tabeli:
1 : 1 = 50% (Put 100 to 100 pot)
1.25 : 1 ≈ 44% (Put 100 to 125 pot)
1.50 : 1 = 40% (Put 100 to 150 pot)
1.75 : 1 ≈ 36% (Put 100 to 175 pot)
2 : 1 ≈ 33% (Put 100 to 200 pot)
2.25 : 1 ≈ 31% (Put 100 to 225 pot)
2.50 : 1 ≈ 29% (Put 100 to 250 pot)
2.75 : 1 ≈ 27% (Put 100 to 275 pot)
3 : 1 ≈ 25% (Put 100 to 300 pot)
3.25 : 1 ≈ 24% (Put 100 to 325 pot)
3.50 : 1 ≈ 22% (Put 100 to 350 pot)
3.75 : 1 ≈ 21% (Put 100 to 375 pot)
4 : 1 = 20% (Put 100 to 400 pot)
4.25 : 1 ≈ 19% (Put 100 to 425 pot)
4.50 : 1 ≈ 18% (Put 100 to 450 pot)
4.75 : 1 ≈ 17% (Put 100 to 475 pot)
5 : 1 ≈ 17% (Put 100 to 500 pot)
% siis tähendab vastavalt seda, et just nii palju peaks olema käel equitit vastase range vastu, et põhjendada calli.
Now consider that most river bets are closer to half-pot than full pot. Say your opponent has bet $100 into a $200 pot. Now you’re getting 3-to-1 odds, so you need to win only 25 percent of the time to call. And your opponent is getting 2-to-1 on his bet, so if you fold more than 33 percent of the time, he can bet any two cards profitably.
You need to call more than 67 percent of the time to deny your opponent a profitable half-pot river bet with any two cards.
Now let’s look at the second rule—it is similar.
Even a tight preflop raiser will hold an ace less than half the time on any given ace-high board. He bets half the pot on the flop, offering 3-to-1 odds on a call. That means I have to win only 25 percent of the time to justify calling the bet.
If you’d like, you can think of the correct way to play no-limit hold’em as tight but sticky.
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Bluffing And Value Betting Frequencies
Betting frequency breaks down into two other frequencies—value frequency and bluffing frequency.
These two frequencies are just as important as the last two. If you don’t bluff enough, players can beat you just by folding to all your big bets. If you bluff too much, well you know what happens then.
The three rules for value-to-bluffing frequencies:
1. On the river, value bet two hands for every hand you bluff.
2. On the turn, value bet one hand for every hand you bluff.
3. On the flop, value bet one hand for every two hands you bluff.
Say you bet $100 into a $100 pot on the river. You offer your opponent a chance to win $200 for a $100 bet. He gets 2-to-1 odds. Therefore, he must win 1 out of 3 times to break even. If your value-to-bluffing frequency is correct, your opponent’s bluff-catching hands will be worth about zero. Therefore, you should bet two value hands for every hand you bluff, such that your opponent wins one-third of the time.
You need to call more than 67 percent of the time to deny your opponent a profitable half-pot river bet with any two cards.
Now let’s look at the second rule—it is similar.
Even a tight preflop raiser will hold an ace less than half the time on any given ace-high board. He bets half the pot on the flop, offering 3-to-1 odds on a call. That means I have to win only 25 percent of the time to justify calling the bet.
If you’d like, you can think of the correct way to play no-limit hold’em as tight but sticky.
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Bluffing And Value Betting Frequencies
Betting frequency breaks down into two other frequencies—value frequency and bluffing frequency.
These two frequencies are just as important as the last two. If you don’t bluff enough, players can beat you just by folding to all your big bets. If you bluff too much, well you know what happens then.
The three rules for value-to-bluffing frequencies:
1. On the river, value bet two hands for every hand you bluff.
2. On the turn, value bet one hand for every hand you bluff.
3. On the flop, value bet one hand for every two hands you bluff.
Say you bet $100 into a $100 pot on the river. You offer your opponent a chance to win $200 for a $100 bet. He gets 2-to-1 odds. Therefore, he must win 1 out of 3 times to break even. If your value-to-bluffing frequency is correct, your opponent’s bluff-catching hands will be worth about zero. Therefore, you should bet two value hands for every hand you bluff, such that your opponent wins one-third of the time.
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
Basic Equitis
Kirjutan eraldi välja standardsed equity olukorrad erinavate starting hand's kohta:
1. OVER-PAIR vs. PAIR
81% 19%
A♣ A♦ vs. K♠K♥
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2. PAIR vs. SUITED CONNECTOR WIHT 1 LIVE CARD
88% 12%
A♣A♦ vs. A♠K♠
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3. PAIR vs. NON-SUITED CONNECTOR WITH 1 LIVE CARD
93% 7%
A♠A♥ vs. A♦K♣
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4. HIGHER PAIR vs. 2 LOWER SUITED BROADWAYS
A♠A♥ vs. K♦Q♦
1. OVER-PAIR vs. PAIR
81% 19%
A♣ A♦ vs. K♠K♥
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2. PAIR vs. SUITED CONNECTOR WIHT 1 LIVE CARD
88% 12%
A♣A♦ vs. A♠K♠
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3. PAIR vs. NON-SUITED CONNECTOR WITH 1 LIVE CARD
93% 7%
A♠A♥ vs. A♦K♣
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4. HIGHER PAIR vs. 2 LOWER SUITED BROADWAYS
A♠A♥ vs. K♦Q♦
Monday, October 10, 2016
Sess 10.10.2016
Õhtune 3 tunnine sess 0.01/0.02 NLHM.
Kokku 3704 kätt ja kasum 6.76€.
Täiesti persest mängitud käte kohta analüüs:
HAND NR 1
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
BTN: $1.89 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 12
SB: $2.01 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 0,0, Hands: 21
Hero (BB): $2.55 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
UTG: $5.09 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 3
MP: $2.51 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 28, 3B: 0, AF: 4,0, Hands: 18
CO: $2.27 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 19, 3B: 3, AF: 11,0, Hands: 73
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BB with A♣Q♥ UTG calls $0.02, MP raises to $0.06, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.21, UTG calls $0.19, MP calls $0.15
Flop: ($0.64) Q♣Q♠5♠(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP checks
Turn: ($0.64) J♦ Hero checks, UTG bets $0.08, MP calls $0.08, Hero calls $0.08
River: ($0.88) 9♣ Hero checks, UTG checks, MP bets $0.40, Hero raises to $2.05, UTG folds, MP raises to $2.22, Hero calls $0.17
Final Pot: $5.32
Hero shows A♣Q♥ MP shows Q♦J♥ MP wins $5.13
(Rake: $0.19)
Kummagi villani kohta statsi ei ole, nii et rangemisel lähtusin tavapärasest standardsest loogikast.
UTG limp võib olla sisuliselt any2 või siis premium AA, KK, AK. QQ vähetõenäoline, kuna mul juba on üks emand käes.
MP raisib 3x, Hero 3-bet 4x. UTG callib, MP callib. Millega nad sealt nii suurt 3-betti callivad?
Flopist equity vastaste range vastu 83%. Vastaste rangeks 2,5% kätest. Turn Jd tundus, et ei muuda midagi juhul, kui kellelgi ei ole JJ. See oleks aga väiksem osa villani combodest. Seal võis olla veel AA, KK AK, AQ.
Sisuliselt oli MP call räme calling mistake, kuna ma olin sellel hetkel ees 73/27. Lihtsalt djuud oli lucky oma trun J ja sinna see läks.
Kummaline oli MP river bet veidi alla poole poti. Poti flushdraw missed, possible straight draws KT küll compleatis, aga tundus vähe tõenäoline, et sellega avas. Pigem tundus ikkagi AA või KK. Oleks võinud kahtlustada ka JJ tegelikult. QJ ei osanud panna.
Kui vastase rangest väja jätta AA ja KK, millega ta oleks vast all in läinud, siis Flopzilla ütleb, et Hero hand is best selle flopi juures 94% ajast.
Kokkuvõte: villain tegi rämeda calling mistake aga fot lucky in turn ja thats it. Kuna võimalik oli veel JJ ja see oleks vastasele andnud full house, siis oleks pidanud vastase riverbeti lihtsalt callima, mitte üle tulema. Mille muuga ta sealt ikka oleks veel bettinud.
HAND NR 2
BTN: $2.00 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 23, 3B: 8, AF: 1,0, Hands: 31
Hero (SB): $4.66 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
BB: $1.52 - VPIP: 9, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 11
UTG: $2.30 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 50, 3B: 0, AF: 5,0, Hands: 8
MP: $2.33 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 2,7, Hands: 91
CO: $1.77 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 0,3, Hands: 72
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is SB with 8♣8♠
Flop: ($0.20) 3♥T♣2♠ Hero checks, UTG bets $0.12, BTN folds, Hero raises to $0.55, UTG raises to $1.10, Hero calls $0.55
Turn: ($2.40) 9♥ Hero checks, UTG bets $1.14, Hero calls $1.14
River: ($4.68) 5♥
Final Pot: $4.68
Hero shows 8♣8♠ UTG shows K♣K♦ UTG wins $4.52
(Rake: $0.16)
Selle käe kohta võiks öelda, et kui oled idioot, siis jäädki oma rahast ilma. Kui villanile panna UTG rangeks 11%, suited connectors ja A2s-A5s, siis oleks mul olnud equitit 46%. Küllap ma mõtelsin, et kui on selline low flop, siis kõik tema AK, AQ ja muud Ax hands missed. Miks ma ei arvestanud, et tema ranges on veel ka JJ+, vot seda ma ei oska öelda. Igatahes oleks minu joon olnud ok, kui ma oleksin flopanud seti, aga kuna nii see ei olnud, siis oleks pidanud olema flopis call villani betile, et oma setti peelida või siis kohe fold. Minna seal veel ilma setita raisima oli ikka sulaselge lollus. Ma oli kogu ta range vastu crushed ja 2 more cards to come. Üldiselt olen edaspidi ettevaatlikum keskmiste paaridega varajaste positsioonide openi vastu. Korra võib flopis proovida maha võtta, kui AK ja AQ missivad, aga kui vastane juba ise betib, siis fold ja next hand.
Esimene viga oli call preflopis ja teine suurem viga oli villani raisi call flopis. Millega ta sealt ikka muuga oleks reraisinud kui overpaariga või siis setiga. Mõlema vastu olin crush ja ainult 2 more outs to improve.
HAND NR 3
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
BTN: $2.04 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 17
SB: $1.05 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 3
BB: $3.59 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 25, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 8
UTG: $2.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 15, 3B: 7, AF: 2,5, Hands: 65
Hero (MP): $2.30 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
CO: $2.49 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 9
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP with A♦Q♠
Flop: ($0.11)7♠8♦3♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.08, BB calls $0.08
Turn: ($0.27) 3♦ BB checks, Hero checks
River: ($0.27) Q♥ BB bets $0.22, Hero raises to $0.92, BB raises to $2.07, Hero calls $1.15
Final Pot: $4.41
BB shows 7♥7♦ Hero mucks A♦Q♠ BB wins $4.26
(Rake: $0.15)
JÄTA OINAS ENDALE MEELDE, ET TPTK EI OLE PIISAVALT TUGEV KÄSI ÄRA STACKIMISEKS.
Kuna villain oli BB, siis on tema ranges kõik poketpaarid. Sellise low boardiga võis ta hittida nii 7, 8 kui 3. Lisaks veel riveri bet on alati väga tugev. Mille muuga ta sealt oleks ikka bettinud kui seti või full housiga. Isegi call minu poolt oleks olnud mistake, reraise seda enam. Mille kehvemaga ta selliselt boardilt oleks minu raisi reraisinud? Ühesõnaga, pean olema valmis sellises spotis pigem foldima või äärmisel juhul callima, kui on hea read, kuigi pigem ikkagi fold.
HAND NR 4
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
Hero (BTN): $4.42 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
SB: $2.13 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 2,5, Hands: 42
BB: $2.16 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 101
UTG: $0.95 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 10
MP: $5.02 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 123
CO: $3.05 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 3,0, Hands: 192
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with Q♠Q♣ 1 fold, MP raises to $0.06, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.21, SB raises to $0.60, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.39
Flop: ($1.28) J♥6♥5♥(2 players)
SB bets $0.44, Hero calls $0.44
Turn: ($2.16) J♦(2 players)
SB bets $1.04, Hero raises to $3.38, SB calls $0.05 all in
River: ($4.34) 7♣(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: $4.34
Hero shows Q♠Q♣ SB shows K♣K♥ SB wins $4.19
(Rake: $0.15)
Mõtleks siin nüüd natukene selle preflop mängu peale. Kui MP avab ja ma raisin ja BB reraisib, siis millega võiks olla tegu. See ei ole resteal. Raiu see endale pähe. Open on üks asi, raise on palju kõvem statement ja reraise on sisuliselt ikkagi faceup käsi. KK, AA või AK. Isegi kui ta reraisis JJ, siis floppi tuli J. Lisaks veel monotone flop ja mul ei olnud Qh. Kui flopist veel BB leadis kah, siis call siin QQ on ikka eriti optimistlik. Ära palun plätserda chippidega sedasi mööda lauda, teised ei ole kah idioodid. Fold nupu vajutamine aitab kõvasti bb kokku hoida.
Sessis oli veel selliseid TPTK tüüpi käsi. Kui ikkagi villain alla ei anna ja lõpus veel ära tahab stackida, siis on fold, sest see paar on beaten ja thats it. Ei tohi sedasi toppaari üle mängida. See maksab päris palju raha.
Kokku 3704 kätt ja kasum 6.76€.
Täiesti persest mängitud käte kohta analüüs:
HAND NR 1
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
BTN: $1.89 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 12
SB: $2.01 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 0,0, Hands: 21
Hero (BB): $2.55 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
UTG: $5.09 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 3
MP: $2.51 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 28, 3B: 0, AF: 4,0, Hands: 18
CO: $2.27 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 19, 3B: 3, AF: 11,0, Hands: 73
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BB with A♣Q♥ UTG calls $0.02, MP raises to $0.06, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.21, UTG calls $0.19, MP calls $0.15
Flop: ($0.64) Q♣Q♠5♠(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP checks
Turn: ($0.64) J♦ Hero checks, UTG bets $0.08, MP calls $0.08, Hero calls $0.08
River: ($0.88) 9♣ Hero checks, UTG checks, MP bets $0.40, Hero raises to $2.05, UTG folds, MP raises to $2.22, Hero calls $0.17
Final Pot: $5.32
Hero shows A♣Q♥ MP shows Q♦J♥ MP wins $5.13
(Rake: $0.19)
Kummagi villani kohta statsi ei ole, nii et rangemisel lähtusin tavapärasest standardsest loogikast.
UTG limp võib olla sisuliselt any2 või siis premium AA, KK, AK. QQ vähetõenäoline, kuna mul juba on üks emand käes.
MP raisib 3x, Hero 3-bet 4x. UTG callib, MP callib. Millega nad sealt nii suurt 3-betti callivad?
Flopist equity vastaste range vastu 83%. Vastaste rangeks 2,5% kätest. Turn Jd tundus, et ei muuda midagi juhul, kui kellelgi ei ole JJ. See oleks aga väiksem osa villani combodest. Seal võis olla veel AA, KK AK, AQ.
Sisuliselt oli MP call räme calling mistake, kuna ma olin sellel hetkel ees 73/27. Lihtsalt djuud oli lucky oma trun J ja sinna see läks.
Kummaline oli MP river bet veidi alla poole poti. Poti flushdraw missed, possible straight draws KT küll compleatis, aga tundus vähe tõenäoline, et sellega avas. Pigem tundus ikkagi AA või KK. Oleks võinud kahtlustada ka JJ tegelikult. QJ ei osanud panna.
Kui vastase rangest väja jätta AA ja KK, millega ta oleks vast all in läinud, siis Flopzilla ütleb, et Hero hand is best selle flopi juures 94% ajast.
Kokkuvõte: villain tegi rämeda calling mistake aga fot lucky in turn ja thats it. Kuna võimalik oli veel JJ ja see oleks vastasele andnud full house, siis oleks pidanud vastase riverbeti lihtsalt callima, mitte üle tulema. Mille muuga ta sealt ikka oleks veel bettinud.
HAND NR 2
BTN: $2.00 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 23, 3B: 8, AF: 1,0, Hands: 31
Hero (SB): $4.66 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
BB: $1.52 - VPIP: 9, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 11
UTG: $2.30 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 50, 3B: 0, AF: 5,0, Hands: 8
MP: $2.33 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 2,7, Hands: 91
CO: $1.77 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 0,3, Hands: 72
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is SB with 8♣8♠
Flop: ($0.20) 3♥T♣2♠ Hero checks, UTG bets $0.12, BTN folds, Hero raises to $0.55, UTG raises to $1.10, Hero calls $0.55
Turn: ($2.40) 9♥ Hero checks, UTG bets $1.14, Hero calls $1.14
River: ($4.68) 5♥
Final Pot: $4.68
Hero shows 8♣8♠ UTG shows K♣K♦ UTG wins $4.52
(Rake: $0.16)
Selle käe kohta võiks öelda, et kui oled idioot, siis jäädki oma rahast ilma. Kui villanile panna UTG rangeks 11%, suited connectors ja A2s-A5s, siis oleks mul olnud equitit 46%. Küllap ma mõtelsin, et kui on selline low flop, siis kõik tema AK, AQ ja muud Ax hands missed. Miks ma ei arvestanud, et tema ranges on veel ka JJ+, vot seda ma ei oska öelda. Igatahes oleks minu joon olnud ok, kui ma oleksin flopanud seti, aga kuna nii see ei olnud, siis oleks pidanud olema flopis call villani betile, et oma setti peelida või siis kohe fold. Minna seal veel ilma setita raisima oli ikka sulaselge lollus. Ma oli kogu ta range vastu crushed ja 2 more cards to come. Üldiselt olen edaspidi ettevaatlikum keskmiste paaridega varajaste positsioonide openi vastu. Korra võib flopis proovida maha võtta, kui AK ja AQ missivad, aga kui vastane juba ise betib, siis fold ja next hand.
Esimene viga oli call preflopis ja teine suurem viga oli villani raisi call flopis. Millega ta sealt ikka muuga oleks reraisinud kui overpaariga või siis setiga. Mõlema vastu olin crush ja ainult 2 more outs to improve.
HAND NR 3
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
BTN: $2.04 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 17
SB: $1.05 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 3
BB: $3.59 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 25, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 8
UTG: $2.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 15, 3B: 7, AF: 2,5, Hands: 65
Hero (MP): $2.30 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
CO: $2.49 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 9
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP with A♦Q♠
Flop: ($0.11)7♠8♦3♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.08, BB calls $0.08
Turn: ($0.27) 3♦ BB checks, Hero checks
River: ($0.27) Q♥ BB bets $0.22, Hero raises to $0.92, BB raises to $2.07, Hero calls $1.15
Final Pot: $4.41
BB shows 7♥7♦ Hero mucks A♦Q♠ BB wins $4.26
(Rake: $0.15)
JÄTA OINAS ENDALE MEELDE, ET TPTK EI OLE PIISAVALT TUGEV KÄSI ÄRA STACKIMISEKS.
Kuna villain oli BB, siis on tema ranges kõik poketpaarid. Sellise low boardiga võis ta hittida nii 7, 8 kui 3. Lisaks veel riveri bet on alati väga tugev. Mille muuga ta sealt oleks ikka bettinud kui seti või full housiga. Isegi call minu poolt oleks olnud mistake, reraise seda enam. Mille kehvemaga ta selliselt boardilt oleks minu raisi reraisinud? Ühesõnaga, pean olema valmis sellises spotis pigem foldima või äärmisel juhul callima, kui on hea read, kuigi pigem ikkagi fold.
HAND NR 4
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
Hero (BTN): $4.42 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 71967
SB: $2.13 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 2,5, Hands: 42
BB: $2.16 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 101
UTG: $0.95 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 10
MP: $5.02 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 123
CO: $3.05 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 3,0, Hands: 192
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with Q♠Q♣ 1 fold, MP raises to $0.06, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.21, SB raises to $0.60, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.39
Flop: ($1.28) J♥6♥5♥(2 players)
SB bets $0.44, Hero calls $0.44
Turn: ($2.16) J♦(2 players)
SB bets $1.04, Hero raises to $3.38, SB calls $0.05 all in
River: ($4.34) 7♣(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: $4.34
Hero shows Q♠Q♣ SB shows K♣K♥ SB wins $4.19
(Rake: $0.15)
Mõtleks siin nüüd natukene selle preflop mängu peale. Kui MP avab ja ma raisin ja BB reraisib, siis millega võiks olla tegu. See ei ole resteal. Raiu see endale pähe. Open on üks asi, raise on palju kõvem statement ja reraise on sisuliselt ikkagi faceup käsi. KK, AA või AK. Isegi kui ta reraisis JJ, siis floppi tuli J. Lisaks veel monotone flop ja mul ei olnud Qh. Kui flopist veel BB leadis kah, siis call siin QQ on ikka eriti optimistlik. Ära palun plätserda chippidega sedasi mööda lauda, teised ei ole kah idioodid. Fold nupu vajutamine aitab kõvasti bb kokku hoida.
Sessis oli veel selliseid TPTK tüüpi käsi. Kui ikkagi villain alla ei anna ja lõpus veel ära tahab stackida, siis on fold, sest see paar on beaten ja thats it. Ei tohi sedasi toppaari üle mängida. See maksab päris palju raha.
How to play JJ?
When is a good time to fold JJ?
Reasoning for folding JJ in re-raised pot
Kui avada late pos JJ ja BU raise ja BB re-raisib, siis sõltuvalt kui NIT vastane on, võiks arutleda järgmiselt:
Re-raise on päris strong statement ja kui rangeks arvata AK, QQ+, siis kombinatoorika oleks järgmine:
Sellises olukorras on JJ easy fold, sest more than likely we are crushed.
IT IS A GOOD AND RIGHT FOLD ON THIS SPECIFIC POINT AND IT DOESNT MATTER WHAT HAPPENS NEXT AND I SHOULD NEVER FEEL BAD ABOUT DOING A CORRECT FOLD. THATS HWO YOU MAKE MONEY IN POKER.
Reasoning for folding JJ in re-raised pot
Kui avada late pos JJ ja BU raise ja BB re-raisib, siis sõltuvalt kui NIT vastane on, võiks arutleda järgmiselt:
Re-raise on päris strong statement ja kui rangeks arvata AK, QQ+, siis kombinatoorika oleks järgmine:
- 6 paari AA, 6 paari KK, 6 paari QQ=18 kätt, mis meid crushivad 80/20
- 16 paari AK, millega JJ on flip
Sellises olukorras on JJ easy fold, sest more than likely we are crushed.
IT IS A GOOD AND RIGHT FOLD ON THIS SPECIFIC POINT AND IT DOESNT MATTER WHAT HAPPENS NEXT AND I SHOULD NEVER FEEL BAD ABOUT DOING A CORRECT FOLD. THATS HWO YOU MAKE MONEY IN POKER.
Wednesday, August 24, 2016
Bettimisest
Ma võiksin ära lõpetada igasugused gay betid flopis ja riveris oma tugevate kätega. Kui mul on tugev käsi ja näha on, et vastane tuleb kaasa, siis tuleb ära stackida. Kui vastasel on, siis tal on ja ta callib ka shove ära ja kui tal ei ole, siis ta foldib anyway. No matter what the size is.
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